Thursday 11 January 2018

Viewpoint: Now even Farage wants another referendum.

Okay, this is a genuine surprise, as I wasn't expecting this at all.

Nigel Farage wants a second EU/Brexit referendum.

Let me say that again.  Nigel Farage wants a second EU/Brexit referendum.

I never thought I'd see the day.

Admittedly he thinks that a second referendum would kill off the "remoaner" campaign to undermine Brexit, and certainly if a referendum happened, and it went 55-45 or greater in favour of Brexit, then certainly it would kill off any further campaign to remain, but the evidence at the moment suggests otherwise.

The most recent poll, done by ICM in December actually gives Remain a 3% lead, 46 to 43.  ORB International's Brexit tracker, puts disapproval of the Prime Minister's handling of Brexit at 63%.  Neither of these are great indicators that a second referendum would deliver what Nigel Farage is looking for.

Of course, he does have the radical extremist right wing press on his side, which he thinks can deliver him the vote he's looking for.  But the influence of the press continues to diminish and as their losses mount up, they try to get louder and louder to encourage people to take notice of them, which is in fact having the opposite effect.  Plus, campaigns like Stop Funding Hate are having an impact on these company's bottom lines, by persuading advertisers not to advertise with these brands that have decided to align themselves with hateful messages.

I'd actually quite like a second referendum to happen, but I don't expect it to.  Theresa May already bungled one major gamble with last year's general election, and I don't see her going for another big gamble in a second referendum, but I've been wrong before.