So far, out of the 44 seats declared, 31 have gone to Fianna Fail. Now, because this is STV (single transferable vote), everything can still change, because every constituency has 3, 4, 5 or more seats available, not just one as it is in the UK. This means that Fine Gael can still beat Fianna Fail if enough transferable votes in either 2nd or 3rd preference was cast.
So, whilst the indications are currently good for Bertie Ahern, they may not stay that way. However, the turnout is reported to be up on the 63% turnout in 2007.
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