Thursday 3 May 2007

Super Thursday: What to watch out for.

There isn't much to look out for in these elections. But there will be one or two interesting pointers.

In the English Local Elections, what will be of most interest will be the turnout, which is traditionally very low in local elections anyway, but could be even lower this time. This will probably be an indication that possible Labour voters stayed away. Also, look to see how many councils change control, from and to Labour and Conservatives. The expectation is that we might see Labour lose councils and Conservatives pick up a few, but don't expect to see any swing directly from Labour to the Conservatives.

The thing to watch in the Scottish Parliamentary elections is to see who forms their next government. My belief is that it will go from being Labour to a combination of the Scottish Nationalists and the Liberal Democrats. But with Conservatives potentially on an upswing as well, the Scottish result is going to be the most interesting.

Sky News have started their election programme, as have BBC Wales. BBC Scotland begin theirs at 2305 UK.

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