I've been scouring the internet for any information that I can find about coverage. ABC in Australia is airing an extended Breakfast on ABC1 until 10am, with additional coverage of the election between midday and 1.30pm and between 3pm and 4pm, all times for Sydney. Meanwhile ABC News 24 airs Breakfast until 10.30am and then rolling coverage until 6pm Sydney time.
CBC News Network is airing coverage from 5pm ET with a 3 hour long Power and Politics special, then Peter Mansbirdge takes over at 8pm until 6am with all night National special.
EuroNews has rolling coverage from 8pm UK, 2100 CET. France 24 and RT are expected to have special coverage as well. In RTs case, the likelihood of coverage coming from RT America in Washington would be quite high, but so far nothing has been explicitly advertised.
Politico have coverage online from 7pm, which is being simulcast on C-Span from 8pm ET. Democracy Now also has online coverage from 7pm for 6 hours.
In America itslef, there's lots of coverage. Each of the main networks, ABC, CBS, NBC, FOX, have coverage beginning at 7pm ET, whilst CNN's main coverage begins at 4pm. FOX News Channel's coverage begins at 6pm ET and MSnbc's coverage also begins at the same time. Current has their "Politically Direct" coverage anchored by Al Gore, starting at 8pm ET.
Over on twitter, I'll be tweeting coverage during the night using the hashtag #vpus2012. I will see you there.
Showing posts with label US Election 2012. Show all posts
Showing posts with label US Election 2012. Show all posts
Tuesday, 6 November 2012
Wednesday, 21 March 2012
Romney wins Illinois: Santorum and Gingrich need to stop.
According to CNN, Mitt Romney is on 562 delegates, compared to Rick Santorum on 249 and Newt Gingrich on 137. There is only 1267 delegates left, and Santorum needs 895 delegates, 70% of the remaining delegates. Gingrich is worse off. He needs 79% of the remaining delegates, a massive 1007 delegates. And we are about half way through this process.
No way can Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich turn this around. Both Newt and Rick have indicated they are looking to hang around to the Convention. But if neither of them have the most delegates, and Mitt Romney does, Romney will be chosen, not Santorum or Gingrich.
Both men need to suspend their campaigns now.
We suspect that Newt might quit the race if he loses Louisiana. Rick Santorum on the other hand, doesn't seem to understand he's running out of time. The math is heading up towards impossible, though Newt will get there first, and if neither man wants to be totally shunned by their Republican colleagues, they should both bail out of the race soon.
Of course, it seems that Newt has so much personal animosity to Mitt Romney, I wouldn't rule out Newt making an independent run. Not that I expect him to do well in such a run.
No way can Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich turn this around. Both Newt and Rick have indicated they are looking to hang around to the Convention. But if neither of them have the most delegates, and Mitt Romney does, Romney will be chosen, not Santorum or Gingrich.
Both men need to suspend their campaigns now.
We suspect that Newt might quit the race if he loses Louisiana. Rick Santorum on the other hand, doesn't seem to understand he's running out of time. The math is heading up towards impossible, though Newt will get there first, and if neither man wants to be totally shunned by their Republican colleagues, they should both bail out of the race soon.
Of course, it seems that Newt has so much personal animosity to Mitt Romney, I wouldn't rule out Newt making an independent run. Not that I expect him to do well in such a run.
Tuesday, 13 March 2012
Alabama and Mississippi Primaries tonight.
So we have two primaries tonight in Alabama and Mississippi. And the number of delegates that are available to the candidates are falling.
Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich are behind in the delegate race, as is Ron Paul, but we know that Ron Paul is not interested in getting the nomination, but in taking the Republican party away from social conservatism, which moderates and independents do not support.
Mitt Romney needs another 713 delegates out of the remaining 1491. That's about 48%. Rick Santorum needs 932 delegates, or 62.5% of the remaining delegates. Newt Gingrich needs 1041 delegates or 70% of the remaining delegates. Because most of the remianing states assign delegates proportionally, the chances for Santorum and Gingrich to make up the required number of delegates is shrinking down to a very small chance. I'd say both of them have two chances, dogs chance and no chance at all.
And Gingrich has put all his eggs into these two baskets. If he doesn't win both states, he will unquestionably leave the race. But whether this actually benefits Rick Santorum or not is open for debate. Yes, the arguement has been that Newt Gingrich + Rick Santorums vote counts in several states would have taken those states away from Mitt Romney, but it does seem that it is almost too late for that to be a major factor anymore. Romney is the leader in the delegate count, the only count that really matters.
Oh and currently, there are 82 unassigned delegates, who will probably go to Mitt Romney anyway, or whoever has the most number of delegates at the end of this. I cannot see any of these currently unpledged delegates going any other way than to the candidate that will have the most delegates, and since I fully expect that to be Mitt Romney, that's where I think they will go.
Today, theres 50 delegates in Alabama, 40 delegates in Mississippi, plus 20 delegates in Hawaii and 9 delegates in American Samoa. That's 119 delegates out of the 1491 remaining. Unless either Santorum or Gingrich get more delegates than Romney, BOTH should exit the scene, stage right, on the double.
Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich are behind in the delegate race, as is Ron Paul, but we know that Ron Paul is not interested in getting the nomination, but in taking the Republican party away from social conservatism, which moderates and independents do not support.
Mitt Romney needs another 713 delegates out of the remaining 1491. That's about 48%. Rick Santorum needs 932 delegates, or 62.5% of the remaining delegates. Newt Gingrich needs 1041 delegates or 70% of the remaining delegates. Because most of the remianing states assign delegates proportionally, the chances for Santorum and Gingrich to make up the required number of delegates is shrinking down to a very small chance. I'd say both of them have two chances, dogs chance and no chance at all.
And Gingrich has put all his eggs into these two baskets. If he doesn't win both states, he will unquestionably leave the race. But whether this actually benefits Rick Santorum or not is open for debate. Yes, the arguement has been that Newt Gingrich + Rick Santorums vote counts in several states would have taken those states away from Mitt Romney, but it does seem that it is almost too late for that to be a major factor anymore. Romney is the leader in the delegate count, the only count that really matters.
Oh and currently, there are 82 unassigned delegates, who will probably go to Mitt Romney anyway, or whoever has the most number of delegates at the end of this. I cannot see any of these currently unpledged delegates going any other way than to the candidate that will have the most delegates, and since I fully expect that to be Mitt Romney, that's where I think they will go.
Today, theres 50 delegates in Alabama, 40 delegates in Mississippi, plus 20 delegates in Hawaii and 9 delegates in American Samoa. That's 119 delegates out of the 1491 remaining. Unless either Santorum or Gingrich get more delegates than Romney, BOTH should exit the scene, stage right, on the double.
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