Sunday 18 March 2012

Puerto Rico goes to Romney

Well, CNN and AP are projecting a win for Mitt Romney, and a fairly convincing one.  With 16% of the vote in, Mitt Romney has 83% of the vote.  Nobody else is anywhere close.  So under the rules, despite it being proportional, Mitt Romney is projected to walk away with 20 delegates from this one territory, a territory that will be voting on statehood in November.  We could soon be talking about Puerto Rico as the 51st state in the union.

The greater the delegate lead that Mitt Romney has, the less likely it looks that Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich or Ron Paul can pull off the amount of delegates required.  In fact, Mitt Romeny is on course, based upon the numbers of delegates won so far, to reach 1215 delegates, 71 over the winning line.

Rick Santorum, needs 2/3rds of the remaining delegates to win, and in this contest, that is looking more and more unlikely.

This race is to all intents and purposes, Mitt Romney's to lose.  But it doesn't seem likely that he will.

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